Dow Jones 30 Stock Prediction
Attrasoft Predictor 2.6, with a Single-Stock-Model, outperforms Dow Jones 30 by a factor of 2 from Feb. 1997 to Jan 30, 2001: 112.4 % vs. 58.15 %.
Attrasoft Predictor 2.6, with a Single-Stock-Model, outperforms Dow Jones 30 by a factor of 2 from Feb. 1997 to Jan 30, 2001: 112.4 % vs. 58.15 %.
Goal: You want to pick top 5 stocks among Dow Jones 30 (6 months period).
Tool: Attrasoft predictor 2.6.
Given: All history stock data of the 30 stocks from 1/1992 - current (Data is provided in this example, you will link your own data in your predictions).
- Using Default setting
- Using "10 Average/+ real Exponential" Command
Criteria You want to predict the top 5 performer in the next 6 months: 2/1/2001 - 7/31/2001.
Model Each prediction of a stock is based on the historical value of the stock alone (the simplest model).
Historical Performance This approach has a good track record, click here.
Results:
Details2/1/2001
Dow Jones 10983.68
SP 500 1373.47
1 mo 45.79
2 dis 31.5
3 msft 62.38
4 hwt 36.86
5 ge 46.23
Original DataComments
Formatted Attrasoft data
Prediction results
Analysis results
History of "Attrasoft Dow 5"
- The purpose of this study is to show you "Attrasoft Dow 5" and how to use Attrasoft Predictor 2.6.
- The one variable model is the simplest model; to get a better result, your model should have more variables than just the stock values.
- You should be able to duplicate these results.
- The estimated time for this research is 2 hours. (Excel is required)
- Human emotion is a non issue here.
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